Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013 0.000014 0.000016
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000014 0.000017 0.000021
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026
2025-01-05 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031
2025-01-12 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000024 0.000037
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000043
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030 0.000051
2025-02-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000034 0.000064
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000038 0.000076
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000043 0.000091
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000047 0.000107
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000050 0.000122
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000055 0.000143
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000026 0.000061 0.000172
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000028 0.000068 0.000206
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000028 0.000071 0.000230
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000029 0.000076 0.000265
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000029 0.000081 0.000302
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000030 0.000089 0.000357
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000033 0.000102 0.000454
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000034 0.000111 0.000536
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000013 0.000036 0.000123 0.000648
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000013 0.000037 0.000134 0.000769